The deer report is a report erstellter for the US energy Ministry, which was published in February 2005. It is concerned with the probability so-called peak of the oil and the necessity to seize measures.

The main author Robert deer, published this report HTTP in October 2005 a summary: /www.acus.org/docs/051007-Hirsch_World_Oil_Production.pdf - pdf file for the Atlantic Council.

Introduction

"Reaching the promotion point places the US economy and the whole world before a never dagewesene challenge of Risikomanagement.Je more near the promotion maximum moves rise and Sprunghaftigkeit of the fuel prices will dramatically increase, and, if no punctual counter measures take place, to unforeseeable economic, social and political costs will lead. There are passable, alternative options both on the inquiring and on the supplying side, but these must to obtain around effect more as one decade before the promotion point into force be set "

Conclusions

• The world-wide promotion point will come
• The promotion maximum could stand the US economy expensively to come
• Peak oil represents a never dagewesene challenge ("those will be abrupt and revolutionary")
• The problem are liquid fuels (their demand particularly from the transportation sector originates)
• Counter measures will need substantial time
• Both the inquiring and the supplying side must be kept in the eye
• Risk management is in demand (counter measures must begin before reaching the promotion point)
• Measures of the government will be necessary
• Economic turbulences are avoidable ("in time recognized, the problems with existing technology can be solved. ")
• More information is necessary

Three scenarios

• A Crash program with reaching the promotion point will only give over more than two decades significant supplying problems with fuel to the world.

• A massnahmenpaket ten years before the promotion point will make important assistance possible, but a supply deficit with fuel also here remains for approximately one decade.

• A Crash program twenty years before reaching the promotion point seems to open the possibility of avoiding bottlenecks of the aforementioned kind.

See also

• Marion King Hubbert, and the Hubbert_Kurve.
• Association for the Study OF peak oil and gas

External one left

• Deer report
• US Govt Sponsored peak oil report Draws Disturbing Conclusions 29. July 2005
• Where is the deer report by Richard Heinberg
• The deer report in pdf
• HTML version
• Audio interview: Robert deer on peak oil Mitigation
• Atlantic Council OF the United States
• Robert deer bio

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