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The board of experts for the investigation of the overall economic development, colloquially the five restaurant ways mentioned is a committee, which was used in the year 1963. It is concerned scientifically with the overall economic development of Germany. A goal is the independent consultation of the Federal Government for this purpose an appraisal is annually provided, which is transmitted to the Federal Government by 15 November. The Federal Government takes at the latest eight weeks after collecting main of the appraisal in the context of the yearly economic report position. Beyond that the board of experts can be assigned by the respective Federal Government the production of special estate respecting.

The tasks of the board of experts and the appointment of the members is in an own law for the education of a board of experts for the investigation of the overall economic development regulated. To the tasks the analysis the overall economic situation and prognoses for the future belong. The experts are to point erroneous trends and possibilities out for their avoidance according to this law ", however no recommendations for certain economics and sociopolitical measures express ".

Members of the advice

Appointment rules

The advice has five members, that will appoint in each case from the Federal President to suggestion of the Federal Government for the duration of five years. (Mostly unique) a reappointment is possible. In each case to the 1. March, the end advice-yearly, separates a member.

Traditionally the trade unions have a special say with one of the members the community committee of the German economy, with another member.

The present (December 2004) members of the advice are:

  • Bert (since March 2000, chairman since March 2005)
  • Wolfgang weighing pool of broadcasting corporations (since March 2001, chairman April 2002 - March 2005)
  • Wolfgang Franz (May 1994 - February 1999; since February 2003)
  • Peter Bofinger (since March 2004)
  • Beatrice neither di Mauro (since June 2004)

Wolfgang weighing pool of broadcasting corporations laid down his advice presidency, due to diversities of opinion with Peter Bofinger over the function of the advice.

former members

(in chronological order)

  • William farmer (January 1964 - July 1974; Chairman 1964 - February 1970)
  • Paul Binder (January 1964 - February 1968)
  • Herbert Giersch (January 1964 - February 1970)
  • Harald cook (January 1964 - May 1969)
  • Fritz W. Meyer (January 1964 - February 1966)
  • Wolfgang (February 1966 - September 1968)
  • Manfred shepherd (March 1968 - July 1970)
  • Norbert Kloten (June 1969 - April 1976; Chairman 1970 - February 1976)
  • Claus's charcoal burner (December 1969 - February 1974)
  • Olaf Sievert (May 1970 - February 1985; Chairman 1976 - February 1985)
  • Armin Gutowski (December 1970 - February 1978)
  • Gerhard Scherhorn (May 1974 - February 1979)
  • Kurt Schmidt (August 1974 - May 1984)
  • Gerd rock (June 1976 - February 1982)
  • Refuge Albach (May 1978 - February 1983)
  • Werner Glastetter (August 1979 - August 1981)
  • Hans Krupp (March 1982 - February 1984)
  • Hans's Karl cutter (July 1982 - February 1992; Chairman 1985 - February 1992)
  • Ernst (March 1983 - February 1988)
  • Dieter Mertens (March 1984 - February 1986)
  • Dieter Pohmer (July 1984 - February 1991)
  • Helmut Hesse (March 1985 - November 1988)
  • Ruediger Pohl (July 1986 - February 1994)
  • Otmar Issing (April 1988 - September 1990)
  • Herbert Hax (March 1989 - February 2000; Chairman 1992 - February 2000)
  • Refuge Siebert (January 1991 - February 2003)
  • Rolf Peffekoven (April 1991 - February 2001)
  • Juergen B. Donges (April 1992 - February 2002; Chairman 2000 - February 2002)
  • Kromphardt (March 1999 - February 2004)
  • Axel A. Weber (March 2002 - April 2004)

Axel A. Weber separated the members of the advice with its appointment as the president of the Federal Bank from the advice, there no (legislative) body of the federation or the public service (exception: University teachers, Forschungsinstitut) to belong may.

"Counter opinions "of the working group alternative economic policy

Since 1977 alternative economic policy becomes annually in the week before that 1 of the working group. May a memorandum for an alternative economic policy publishes. It is often considered as "counter opinion "for the annual appraisal of the board of experts.

Problem

The prognoses for overall economic development are afterwards regarded rarely correct. However economic forecasts are also very difficult, since a great many factors of influence affect the economy.

The political decision makers and lobby organizations ignore increasingly the pieces of advice of the restaurant professors and try by purposeful appointment politics them genehme appraisals to promote.

Theoretical founding of the appraisals is to be classified as problematic, since it takes place mostly only on the paradigm of the offer theory. A letztlicher empirical proof cannot be offered in the national economy however.

Literature

  • Franz, Wolfgang, "politico-economic consultation: Reminiscences and reflection", in: "Perspectives of the economic policy", Jg. 1, 2000, P. 53-71.
  • Krupp, Hans "independent consultation and political responsibility, considerations for the conception of the German board of experts", in: Gahlen, B. among other things (Hrsg.): Economic growth, structural change and dynamic competition, Berlin, 1989, P. 421-428
  • Board of experts for the investigation of the overall economic development, forty years board of experts 1963-2003, Wiesbaden, 2003, ISBN 3-8246-0704-2
  • Ansgar, "expert advice in the change - the theoretical argumentation background of the board of experts for the investigation of the overall economic development to employment policy from 1964 to 1999", Marburg, 2001, ISBN 3-89518-339-3
  • van Suntum, Ulrich, "in the suction of the fame: 30 years board of experts", in: "Economical correspondence of the Alfred weber donation", Jg. 32, 1993, No. 10

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